Super Tuesday 2020
As the data continues to come in from Super Tuesday, one thing is certain; the Biden campaign has found its footing. The win in South Carolina and prevailing narrative surrounding African-American voters in support of his candidacy provided some much needed momentum headed into Tuesday’s primaries. Along with the endorsement of Amy Klobucher, Pete Buttegieg, Beto O’Rouke and US House Democratic Whip-Jim Clyburn. Joe Biden has been declared the winner in 9 out of the 15 states. He continues to perform well with voters age 30-65; voters 18-29, not so much.
Bernie Sanders seemed poised to have a better showing on Super Tuesday. Flaws pointed out in his candidacy earlier on still seemed to be an issue. However, Bernie enjoys great support from younger voters. A group that is becoming increasingly energized and active participants in the political process. Endorsements by Rep. Alexandria Occasio-Cortez, Rep. Rashida Talib, and Rep. Ilhan Omar, provided some momentum for his campaign. The Sander’s camp continues to court the African-American vote which he desperately needs. Bernie did receive sizeable support from both Hispanic (55%) and Asian (30%) voters according to California exit poll data, a state that he won. California also had the largest share of delegates up for grabs. 55% of exit poll respondents in California prefer a candidate that agrees with them on the issues and not just someone who can beat Trump. This is interesting because Biden’s entire appeal to voters is that he can beat Trump. Bernie Sanders won 4 out of the 15 states.
Michael Bloomberg, despite getting toasted during Democratic debates, did manage to impact both Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders at the polls. His much talked about ad spend gave him a slight boost, but not enough to be seriously considered as Presidential candidate moving forward. Michael Bloomberg walked away with 1 win – the American Samoa.
Super Tuesday was super brutal to Elizabeth Warren. For a candidate with real plans and solutions her showing in Super Tuesday was dismal. She did not win any states. Despite the outcome of Super Tuesday, Warren will remain in the race. Many did not hear much from her camp as the results were coming in. Yet, an email was sent to supporters urging them to make more donations prior to the next round of primary voting. Many are calling for Elizabeth Warren to drop out of the race.
Voter turnout looked promising, Virginia turnout exceeded 2016 and 2018. New Hampshire turnout exceeded 2016 and 2008. South Carolina turnout exceeded 2016 and was close to 2008. Some waited up to 4 hours to cast their votes in California and Texas. One thing is certain, voter suppression must be fought vigorously. Thankfully the NAACP Legal Defense Fund and countless community organizations are doling just that.
The path to presidency does run through older African-American voters. However, a shift could be on the horizon as Hispanic voters grow in number. Frankly, they seem to be able to pull the trigger and vote for truly progressive candidates. Which is a stark contrast from their voting history which has been primarily conservative. There are 37 more primary races to go. With the last one occurring on June 6.